Only the big ones — full breakdowns, honest numbers. Keeneland · Breeders' Cup Saturday, October 31, 2026
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Race 1 — The Keene Place
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 11:15 AM ET · 7 furlongs · Dirt · Purse $150,000 · Maiden · 2-year-olds
Final entries for the undercard have not been published yet — this tab updates as soon as the field is drawn.
Race 2 — The Maine Chance
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 11:50 AM ET · 6½ furlongs · Dirt · Purse $185,000 · Allowance Optional Claiming · 3 & up
Final entries for the undercard have not been published yet — this tab updates as soon as the field is drawn.
Race 3 — The Fall Harvest
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 12:25 PM ET · 7 furlongs · Dirt · Purse $165,000 · Allowance Optional Claiming · 2YO fillies
Final entries for the undercard have not been published yet — this tab updates as soon as the field is drawn.
Race 4 — Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 1:10 PM ET · 7 furlongs · Dirt · Purse $1,000,000 · Fillies & mares, 3 & up
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
1
Look Forward
U. Rispoli
M. McCarthy
20/1
2
Ways and Means
F. Prat
C. Brown
7/5
3
Praying
J. Velazquez
R. Medina
30/1
4
R Disaster
T. Gaffalione
S. Joseph Jr.
8/1
5
Foie Gras
R. Santana Jr.
M. Maker
20/1
6
Majestic Oops
F. Arrieta
P. D'Amato
15/1
7
Evanescence
L. Saez
E. Kenneally
15/1
8
Kerry's Kiss
E. Gonzalez
S. Joseph Jr.
20/1
9
Sweet Azteca
J. Hernandez
R. Baltas
8/1
10
Simply Joking
M. Franco
M. McCarthy
30/1
11
Explora
J. Ortiz
B. Baffert
4/1
12
Kilwin
J. Castellano
G. Arnold II
8/1
13
Nooni
M. Gutierrez
B. Baffert
30/1
Race 5 — Prevagen Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G1T)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 1:48 PM ET · 5½ furlongs · Turf · Purse $1,000,000 · 3 & up
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
1
John the Beer Man
K. Carmouche
R. Atras
30/1
2
Shisospicy
L. Saez
J. D'Angelo
15/1
3
Bacio
J. Hernandez
W. Ward
5/2
4
Roja
M. Franco
H. Motion
30/1
5
Time to Dazzle
O. Murphy
M. Casse
20/1
6
Yellow Card
F. Prat
M. McCarthy
8/1
7
Comanche Brave (IRE)
B. Loughnane
D. O'Brien
3/1
8
Possiblemente
J. Ortiz
J. Sharp
12/1
9
In Our Time
M. Husbands
S. Joseph Jr.
20/1
10
Cy Fair
J. Velazquez
G. Weaver
8/1
11
Joe Shiesty
F. De La Cruz
E. Foster
10/1
12
Sorrento Sky (IRE)
U. Rispoli
P. D'Amato
12/1
13
Starlust (GB)
R. Ryan
R. Beckett
20/1
14
Miss Yechance (IRE)
J. Nicholls
K. Burke
15/1
15
Big Mojo (IRE)
T. Marquand
M. Appleby
20/1 · AE
16
No Nay Hudson (IRE)
J. Ortiz
W. Ward
15/1 · AE
17
Doncho
R. Santana Jr.
M. Lovell
20/1 · AE
18
Outfielder
D. Egan
W. Ward
30/1 · AE
Race 6 — Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 2:26 PM ET · 1 mile · Dirt · Purse $1,000,000 · 3 & up
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
1
Further Ado
F. Prat
B. Cox
2/1
2
T Kraft
J. Alvarado
W. Mott
15/1
3
Full Serrano (ARG)
J. Rosario
J. Sadler
10/1
4
Chunk of Gold
J. Torres
E. West
8/1
5
Coal Battle
J. Vargas
L. Briley
6/1
6
Lord Fons (JPN)
K. Yokoyama
S. Yasuda
15/1
7
Bracket Buster
J. Velazquez
V. Oliver
7/2
8
Moonlight
M. Franco
P. Miller
15/1
9
Forged Steel
E. Gonzalez
S. Joseph Jr.
15/1
10
Owen Almighty
L. Saez
B. Lynch
10/1
11
Iron Man Cal
T. Gaffalione
P. D'Amato
12/1
Race 7 — Maker's Mark Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1T)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 3:04 PM ET · 1 3/16 miles · Turf · Purse $2,000,000 · Fillies & mares, 3 & up
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
1
Gimme a Nother (SAF)
J. Velazquez
H. Motion
10/1
2
Evershed (IRE)
M. Barzalona
A. Delacour
30/1
3
Classic Q
J. Castellano
M. Casse
20/1
4
Red Letter (GB)
D. Browne McMonagle
G. Lyons
12/1
5
Kathynmarissa
J. Ortiz
C. Brown
5/1
6
Thought Process
M. Franco
P. D'Amato
15/1
7
Bless the Broken
O. Murphy
B. Cox
20/1
8
Jancis (IRE)
B. Lee
W. McCreery
20/1
9
Eccentric (CHI)
W. Rodriguez
W. Ward
30/1
10
Expensive Queen (IRE)
L. Saez
B. Walsh
15/1
11
Precise (IRE)
R. Moore
A. O'Brien
7/2
12
Blue Bolt (IRE)
C. Keane
A. Balding
5/2
13
Lush Lips (GB)
T. Gaffalione
B. Walsh
12/1
14
Stellify
F. Prat
B. Cox
12/1
15
Vina Arana (IRE)
A. Beschizza
J. Sisterson
30/1
Race 8 — Cygames Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 3:42 PM ET · 6 furlongs · Dirt · Purse $2,000,000 · 3 & up
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
1
Mad House
P. Lopez
D. Vanwinkle
30/1
2
Dark Saffron
C. Beasley
A. bin Harmash
20/1
3
Liam Smith
M. Franco
P. Miller
20/1
4
Hymn
R. Santana Jr.
R. Moquett
15/1
5
Listenupshance
E. Jaramillo
D. O'Neill
12/1
6
American Stage
O. Murphy
Y. Yahagi
30/1
7
Built
L. Saez
W. Catalano
10/1
8
Little Thunder
J. Velazquez
T. Hamm
30/1
9
Nakatomi
T. Gaffalione
W. Ward
12/1
10
Roll On Big Joe
J. Leparoux
R. Hess Jr.
30/1
11
T O Elvis
R. Sakai
D. Takayanagi
7/2
12
Stradale
F. Prat
S. Asmussen
20/1
13
Englishman
J. Ortiz
C. DeVaux
4/5
Race 9 — FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile (G1T)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 4:20 PM ET · 1 mile · Turf · Purse $2,000,000 · Presented by PDJF · 3 & up
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
1
Deterministic
K. Carmouche
M. Clement
8/1
2
Lake Forest (GB)
C. Fallon
W. Haggas
6/1
3
Facteur Cheval (IRE)
M. Franco
M. Casse
30/1
4
Cabo Spirit
M. Smith
G. Papaprodromou
30/1
5
Ask Ikigomi (JPN)
R. Sakai
H. Fujiwara
20/1
6
Zulu Kingdom (IRE)
F. Prat
C. Brown
15/1
7
Qirat (GB)
C. Keane
R. Beckett
30/1
8
Notable Speech (GB)
W. Buick
C. Appleby
7/5
9
Rhetorical
J. Ortiz
W. Walden
8/1
10
Lugal (JPN)
O. Murphy
H. Sugiyama
30/1
11
Formidable Man
J. Velazquez
M. McCarthy
15/1
12
True Love (IRE)
W. Lordan
A. O'Brien
8/1
13
Brilliant Berti
B. Hernandez Jr.
C. DeVaux
30/1
14
Puerto Rico (IRE)
R. Moore
A. O'Brien
10/1
⭐ Race 10 — Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 4:58 PM ET · 1⅛ miles · Dirt · Purse $2,000,000 · Fillies & mares, 3 & up
THE CALL — 🥇 WIN #2 Nitrogen (6/5) · 🥈 PLACE #4 Fully Subscribed (8/5) · 🥉 SHOW #8 Splendora (9/2) · 4th: #7 Super Corredora (15/1)
Nitrogen is the class of this field by a distance: the best last-out figure in the race (Beldame by 2¾), a 12¾-length romp in the Ogden Phipps, and a second to Sovereignty against the boys in the Whitney. Fully Subscribed is the one real danger — three straight Grade 1 wins at exactly this 1⅛-mile trip, including the Spinster over this very track. Splendora is the lone confirmed speed; if nobody goes with her early she can steal a board spot, but the distance at this level is her question. The value horse is Super Corredora — champion 2-year-old, a sharp Zenyatta win off the layoff, and 15/1 for a filly with her upside (est. ROI +28%).
Win bet: #2 Nitrogen — 1.5% of bankroll (at 6/5 the price is honest, est. ROI −12% — conviction, not value). The value angle is Super Corredora crashing the exotics.
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
Est. Win %
Est. ROI
1
Immersive
J. Alvarado
B. Cox
30/1
1%
-69%
2
Nitrogen
J. Ortiz
M. Casse
6/5
40%
-12%
3
Regaled
J. Ramos
D. Beckman
20/1
3%
-37%
4
Fully Subscribed
F. Prat
C. Brown
8/5
32%
-17%
5
Scottish Lassie
L. Saez
J. Abreu
15/1
4%
-36%
6
Measure
M. Franco
M. Casse
20/1
1%
-79%
7
Super Corredora
J. Rosario
J. Sadler
15/1
8%
+28%
8
Splendora
T. Gaffalione
B. Baffert
9/2
10%
-45%
9
Eunomia
M. Husbands
S. Joseph Jr.
30/1
1%
-69%
🎟️ The Tickets — Eddie's Diagonal Model
No live pool data yet (morning line only), so the exotics are built on Eddie's diagonal model — the longest prices stacked on top, the favorite anchored last — instead of the Ziemba/Harville pool ranking, which takes over once live pools exist.
Super High Five — $1 base · 10 combos · $10 1st: 5 Scottish Lassie, 7 Super Corredora 2nd: 6 Measure, 5 Scottish Lassie 3rd: 3 Regaled, 6 Measure 4th: 9 Eunomia, 3 Regaled 5th: 2 Nitrogen, 4 Fully Subscribed
Exotic package ≈ $42.90 for the race (about 4% of a $1,000 bankroll). Odds shown are the morning line from the October 26 draw.
Race 11 — Longines Breeders' Cup Turf (G1T)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 5:36 PM ET · 1½ miles · Turf · Purse $5,000,000 · 3 & up
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
1
Ethical Diamond (IRE)
D. Browne McMonagle
W. Mullins
10/1
2
Benvenuto Cellini (IRE)
R. Moore
A. O'Brien
6/1
3
Minaret Station
J. Ortiz
W. Walden
15/1
4
Far Bridge
J. Velazquez
M. Clement
20/1
5
El Cordobes (IRE)
W. Buick
C. Appleby
15/1
6
Burnham Square
B. Hernandez Jr.
I. Wilkes
8/1
7
Hotazhell (GB)
S. Foley
J. Harrington
15/1
8
Test Score
M. Franco
H. Motion
30/1
9
Johanna Walsh (IRE)
M. Barzalona
J. O'Brien
12/1
10
Tiffany (IRE)
L. Morris
Sir M. Prescott
10/1
11
Survie (IRE)
F. Prat
G. Boughey
15/1
12
Diamond Necklace (IRE)
C. Soumillon
A. O'Brien
3/1
13
Bay City Roller (IRE)
O. Murphy
G. Scott
5/1
14
Deep Monster (JPN)
T. Marquand
Y. Ikee
30/1
15
Map of Stars (GB)
J. Doyle
F. Graffard
20/1
16
Telescopic
L. Saez
V. Oliver
30/1
⭐ Race 12 — Longines Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)
Keeneland · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · Post 6:16 PM ET · 1¼ miles · Dirt · Purse $7,000,000 · 3 & up
THE CALL — 🥇 WIN #5 Forever Young (2/1) · 🥈 PLACE #2 Sovereignty (5/2) · 🥉 SHOW #7 Knightsbridge (9/2) · 4th: #8 Napoleón Solo (15/1)
The defending champion is simply the most likely winner: 12 wins from 16 starts, $32M earned, and he just took the Jockey Club Gold Cup by 3¼. Sovereignty owns the field's best single figure (Whitney) and is the one horse who can beat him on his best day. Knightsbridge passed his first 1¼-mile test in the Pacific Classic and Mott runs him with intent. Napoleón Solo — Preakness winner, Travers runner-up — hits the board in race after race and juices every exotic underneath.
Win bet: #5 Forever Young — 2% of bankroll. (Honest math: at 2/1 his price is fully baked in, est. ROI −10% — this is a conviction play, not a value play.)
#
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
ML
Est. Win %
Est. ROI
1
T O Password (JPN)
K. Kimura
D. Takayanagi
30/1
1%
-69%
2
Sovereignty
J. Alvarado
W. Mott
5/2
27%
-6%
3
Golden Tempo
J. Ortiz
C. DeVaux
5/1
10%
-40%
4
The Puma
J. Castellano
G. Delgado
10/1
5%
-45%
5
Forever Young (JPN)
R. Sakai
Y. Yahagi
2/1
30%
-10%
6
Magnitude
F. Prat
S. Asmussen
6/1
8%
-44%
7
Knightsbridge
L. Saez
W. Mott
9/2
17%
-7%
8
Napoleon Solo
J. Velazquez
C. Summers
15/1
2%
-68%
🎟️ The Tickets — Eddie's Diagonal Model
No live pool data yet (morning line only), so the exotics are built on Eddie's diagonal model — the longest prices stacked on top, the favorite anchored last — instead of the Ziemba/Harville pool ranking, which takes over once live pools exist.
Trifecta — $1 base · 10 combos · $10 1st: 4 The Puma, 6 Magnitude, 3 Golden Tempo 2nd: 8 Napoleón Solo, 4 The Puma 3rd: 5 Forever Young, 2 Sovereignty
Superfecta — $0.10 base · 119 combos · $11.90 1st: 6 Magnitude, 3 Golden Tempo, 7 Knightsbridge, 2 Sovereignty, 5 Forever Young 2nd: 4 The Puma, 6 Magnitude, 3 Golden Tempo, 7 Knightsbridge 3rd: 8 Napoleón Solo, 4 The Puma, 6 Magnitude, 3 Golden Tempo 4th: 5 Forever Young, 2 Sovereignty, 7 Knightsbridge, 3 Golden Tempo
Super High Five — $1 base · 10 combos · $10 1st: 3 Golden Tempo, 7 Knightsbridge 2nd: 6 Magnitude, 3 Golden Tempo 3rd: 4 The Puma, 6 Magnitude 4th: 8 Napoleón Solo, 4 The Puma 5th: 5 Forever Young, 2 Sovereignty
Exotic package ≈ $43.90 for the race (about 4% of a $1,000 bankroll). Odds shown are the morning line from the October 26 draw.
